I do share this concern: whether you look at blood levels or convert doses based on metabolic rate, the animal studies suggest that even standard clinical doses may not be enough, let alone these. I expect that they were (a) trying to replicate a positive previous result, and (b) being conservative with safety for the IRB and maybe the NIA, and (c) thinking of real-world translation: many people on this forum are willing to put up with a lot of side effects and non-trivial risks, but the average aging person likely won’t — especially since we’re never going to get a lifespan study and may never get one with hard outcomes.
I’ll spell it out: if the results are indistinguishable from placebo (=negative), then we won’t know if the dose was too low or if it just doesn’t work. We would really like to know the difference
. And after a negative result, neither the NIA nor anyone else is likely to pony up the rather large amount of money it will already have taken to run this first trial just to give it another go at a higher dose.
That’s a very good point. On the other hand, the mouse model in the study you’re referencing is the db/db mouse, which develops quite severe diabetes and obesity and is extremely short-lived (" The median survival of male db/db mice fed the control and rapamycin diets was 349 and 302 days, respectively, and the median survival of female db/db mice fed the control and rapamycin diets was 487 and 411 days, respectively."). It’s plausible that people who are only slightly insulin resistant might respond differently. I wish we had more rodent data on this question.
To play Devil’s advocate a bit, 72% of the US population is overweight or obese, and 48.8% of adults over the age of 65 are prediabetic, so it would be unrepresentative not to at least have a lot of prediabetic people in the trial.
There are safety signals they will need to monitor. In the original Mannick trial and other studies using these doses nothing too awful happened on basic CBC and clinical chemistry; provided that happens again in this larger study, having the bloodwork be broadly consistent with what’s seen in the mice will be evidence of translatability.
That would introduce serious confounding: scientifically, you’d really want to go step by step. Also, the acceptability of acarbose by Americans is low (GI issues), and the doses used in the ITP are really pretty astonishing and unlikely to be translated.
Would you please identify your source for this?