A. As mentioned, there is not good clinical trial or MR studies that have been provided on this topic
B. So we have to triangulate as best we can and make decision under uncertainty
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The human correlations studies are one source
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The rich geroscience literature is another
It seems that you either do not agree with A and B or do not think 2 is relevant.
Below are some think you might want to consider / leads to look more into things:
Exercise has been shown to protect from many age-related diseases but fails to extend maximum life span in rodents (16, 17, 21).
Although the evidence clearly shows a greater benefit from calorie restriction compared with exercise on longevity, there remains a significant gap in the literature explaining this disparate effect. The effects of calorie restriction (40) and exercise (6) on age-related diseases and markers of aging have been exhaustively studied independently, while only a limited number have examined calorie restriction and exercise in tandem (26, 36).
Rodent (17) and human studies (32) suggest that increasing energy expenditure via exercise fails to mimic the life-prolonging benefit of consuming fewer calories.
These results showed that mild and moderate calorie restriction were more effective at lowering fasting IGF-1 and insulin levels than exercise, and animals on moderate calorie restriction most closely resembled young animals for measures of hormones and stress-related proteins. In contrast, exercised animals were leaner than calorie-restricted mice and exhibited greater tissue levels of HSPs and oxidative phophorylation complex content in skeletal muscle mitochondria.
The results show that compared with fully-fed controls, ad libitum-fed runners had significantly lower serum IGF-1 levels and less DNA damage, but no improvement in fasting insulin. Animals that were weight matched with ad libitum-fed runners using only mild calorie restriction had similar IGF-1 levels, but significantly lower insulin levels and stress-related proteins. Serum insulin levels were further reduced in mice on mild calorie restriction plus exercise, but stress-related proteins in liver and skeletal muscle from this group tended to be elevated compared with sedentary animals. Animals on moderate calorie restriction that were weight matched to calorie-restricted runners exhibited the greatest reduction in insulin levels, and most closely resembled young animals for measures of stress-related proteins.
Thus, it is possible that some harmful byproduct(s) or consequence(s) associated with exercise “interferes” with the beneficial effects of being lean. Alternatively, calorie restriction may extend life span by a mechanism(s) independent of leanness, and exercise may fail to activate these critical pathways to the same scope or magnitude.
To test the hypothesis that exercise is associated with greater levels of stress-related proteins and oxidative damage than calorie restriction, we measured HSPs, protein carbonyls, and 8-OHdG. Runners (AL/EX and PF4/EX) had elevated HSP25 and HSP70i in skeletal muscle, and HSP25 was elevated in PF4/EX mice in liver compared with sedentary animals. The robust increase in HSPs might suggest greater oxidative stress, need for cellular protection, and/or damage with exercise training, and hence a greater need for protein turnover compared with mild and moderate calorie-restricted animals.
When comparing weight-matched animals, calorie restriction tended to result in more favorable changes to the insulin/IGF-1 axis than exercise.
Recently, Fontana and colleagues (10–12) have examined systemic biomarkers in individuals on a selfimposed low-calorie or low calorie-low protein diet vs. individuals engaged in high-volume exercise for several years. Despite a similar body mass index (10, 12) or fat content (11), long-term calorie restriction and exercise resulted in disparate effects on various parameters related to aging, including thyroid function, systemic inflammation, and growth factors. For instance, individuals engaged in voluntary calorie restriction were found to have lower levels of serum T3 and TNF-α levels than exercisers or a control group consuming a typical Western diet (11). In another study, individuals consuming a low calorie-low protein diet were shown to have a more favorable cancer risk profile than endurance runners or controls, including lower serum IGF-1 and greater levels of dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate and sex-hormone-binding globulin (10). Furthermore, a low-calorie vegan diet resulted in lower blood pressure than exercisers (12). Taken together, the present investigation, coupled with these related studies in humans suggest that at the same relative energy deficit, exercise fails to completely mimic the beneficial changes associated with calorie restriction.
Additional studies are needed to determine whether the failure of exercise to mimic the benefits of calorie restriction and extend life span is due to exercise itself or if a reduction in food intake per se is distinct from an increase in energy expenditure. Along these lines, we found that under clamped food intake conditions, increasing energy expenditure via thermoregulation, rather than exercise, resulted in smaller, leaner mice that had less cancer incidence and progression (22). Similarly, it was shown that compared with controls, rats exposed to cool water for 4 h/day, 5 days/wk consumed 44% more food, but weighed ~20–25% less, and had less sarcoma formation (20). However, the relative energy deficit imposed on these animals did not increase mean or maximum life span compared with controls (20).
Therefore, the available evidence demonstrates that an increase in energy expenditure can attenuate disease risk (20, 22) but does not presently support the notion that an energy expenditure-induced energy deficit slows the rate of biological aging (20).
Along these lines, the CALERIE study (7, 15) has recently reported that 6 mo of calorie restriction or calorie restriction plus exercise resulted in ~10% weight loss were equally effective at reducing fasting insulin, core body temperature, and DNA damage and stimulating skeletal muscle mitochondrial biogenesis.
This one goes in your direction:
Furthermore, an important distinction to be made is that unlike rats and mice, humans often die of cardiovascular complications, including heart disease and stroke, while this is a rare cause of death in rodents (38).
But we know how to control CVD risks via Apo B and inflammation and just a reasonable amount of excercise
https://journals.physiology.org/doi/full/10.1152/ajpregu.00890.2007
- Rats that exercise regularly will, on average, live longer compared to a group that eats the same amount but does not exercise. This is because exercise prevents some diseases, which allows more individual animals to live out their expected life span.
- However, when comparing the rats in these two groups that eat the same amount, the longest-lived animals in the exercise group don’t live any longer than the longest-lived rats in the non-exercise group. Taken together, these findings indicate that exercise can prevent an early death from disease in some rats, but does not extend the maximal lifespan of any of the rats.
- When comparing rats that exercise to those that don’t exercise but eat much less, the longest-lived rats are from the group that ate less.
See also
generally, studies in mice do not show significant maximal lifespan extension with exercise. Nothing like CR or Rapamycin.
A wealth of scientific literature backs the unique therapeutic benefits of exercise for quality of life, cardiovascular (CV) health, and longevity. Consequently, many have assumed that more exercise is always better. However, chronic excessive endurance exercise might adversely impact CV health. Ultra-endurance races can inflict acute myocardial damage, as evidenced by elevations in troponin and brain natriuretic peptide. Moreover, sudden cardiac arrest occurs more often in marathons and triathlons than in shorter races. Veteran endurance athletes often show abnormal cardiac remodeling with increased risk for myocardial fibrosis and coronary calcification. Chronic excessive exercise has been consistently associated with increased risks of atrial fibrillation (AF), and along with some attenuation of longevity benefits. The optimal dose of exercise remains unknown and probably differs among individuals. Current studies suggest that 2.5 to 5 hours/week of moderate or vigorous physical activity will confer maximal benefits; >10 hours/week may reduce these health benefits.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7431070/
There are also chronic autonomic activation and chronic electrolyte abnormalities along with fibrosis from overtraining that may be factors.